Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.074745 4.364034 4.673592 5.031191 5.435078 5.879715 6.409861
2025-08-31 3.638942 4.044382 4.505860 5.076850 5.774298 6.612270 7.717569
2025-09-07 3.354140 3.819038 4.370407 5.085971 6.011395 7.200770 8.905669
2025-09-14 3.065376 3.546026 4.131889 4.917491 5.975474 7.404582 9.590172
2025-09-21 2.862016 3.354419 3.968468 4.815153 5.996555 7.665872 10.380100
2025-09-28 2.711768 3.214907 3.855109 4.760265 6.065140 7.989364 11.313568
2025-10-05 2.603995 3.120436 3.790189 4.760238 6.204258 8.427777 12.523271
2025-10-12 2.540634 3.078288 3.789452 4.846028 6.474295 9.105240 14.327930
2025-10-19 2.478834 3.033121 3.779418 4.914311 6.720916 9.779128 16.330702
2025-10-26 2.406022 2.968023 3.735940 4.926864 6.876303 10.315310 18.224858
2025-11-02 2.314712 2.872352 3.642601 4.854687 6.881021 10.571688 19.561727
2025-11-09 2.213427 2.758115 3.516235 4.721670 6.767687 10.582513 20.288888
2025-11-16 2.133730 2.673351 3.431997 4.654992 6.773561 10.852352 21.892154
2025-11-23 2.089430 2.637074 3.417494 4.699437 6.983757 11.586886 25.255423
2025-11-30 2.039143 2.589590 3.383095 4.707779 7.127463 12.208237 28.698009
2025-12-07 1.952980 2.486603 3.259584 4.558872 6.957484 12.085410 29.417749
2025-12-14 1.886778 2.410403 3.173692 4.468230 6.891762 12.199109 31.173152
2025-12-21 1.835107 2.353545 3.114825 4.419557 6.902935 12.501064 33.975910
2025-12-28 1.798054 2.316853 3.085417 4.419533 7.011116 13.069898 38.596114
2026-01-04 1.780384 2.308166 3.099151 4.495592 7.283748 14.139815 47.390119
2026-01-11 1.760098 2.294612 3.104218 4.556059 7.530741 15.214087 58.560893
2026-01-18 1.730465 2.265726 3.083171 4.567169 7.671042 16.018379 70.026239
2026-01-25 1.687059 2.214408 3.023629 4.503263 7.635890 16.268269 77.336872